How economic growth and voting rules affect voter turnout

How Changing Voting Rules affects Turnout

In 2012, Chile moved from a system of voluntary registration and, once registered, mandatory voting to a system of automatic registration and voluntary voting. This change was intended to increase turnout, especially among young voters. However, a study found that these changes reduced net turnout by 5% of eligible population (12% who had previously voted stayed home, but 7% who previously stayed home began to vote). Though net turnout fell, these changes were successful at increasing the turnout of younger voters, with the age bias towards older voters being reduced by 39%. These findings show both how changing rules can affect overall turnout, but also encourage participation by underrepresented groups of citizens.

African Voters Stay Home When the Economy is Bad

Researchers have debated whether voters mobilize and come out to vote when the economy is poor or whether they withdraw and stay home. This study of 317 presidential elections across 40 African countries between 1960-2016 shows that voter turnout in Africa rises and falls with economic growth.  When the economy booms, African voters are more likely to go to the polls; when it busts, they are more likely to stay at home. Efforts to increase democratic participation should therefore take national economic realities into account, understanding the need for greater outreach in times of weak economic development.

Do you have a study we should share for a future Facty Friday? Send an email to drg.el@usaid.gov!